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The Journal of Operations Research, Statistics, Econometrics and Management Information Systems
Money - Physical Capital Nexus: How Valid Is McKinnon Complementarity Hypothesis In Turkish Economy?
Abstract
According to theory of financial liberalization that emphasizes money and physical capital complementarity, increase in real interest rate following liberalization leads to money demand and investment. Validity of this assumption, which is also known as McKinnon complementarity hypothesis, has been tested empirically for various countries undertaken financial liberalization policies. These empirical works shape the policies of countries with regard to their money demand, interest rate and investment. This study investigates the nexus between money demand, interest rate and investment size in Turkey by employing Bound test and ARDL approach over the period 1988Q1-2013Q4. Empirical analysis of this study hints that there is a limited complementary relationship between money and physical capital in Turkish economy.
Keywords: Bound Test and ARDL Method, Financial Liberalization, McKinnon Complementary Hypothesis, Money and Physical Capital, Turkey
Para ve Fiziki Sermaye İlişkisi: McKinnon Tamamlayıcılık Hipotezi Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin Ne Kadar Geçerli?
Öz
Para ve fiziki sermaye arasında tamamlayıcılık ilişkisine vurgu yapan finansal liberalizasyon teorisine göre serbestleşme uygulamaları sonucu yükselen reel faiz oranları, para talebi ve yatırımlarda artışa yol açacaktır. Literatürde McKinnon tamamlayıcılık hipotezi olarak da isimlendirilen bu hipotezin geçerliliği, finansal liberalizasyon politikalarını hayata geçiren pek çok ülkede yapılan ampirik testlerle sınanmış ve bu doğrultuda para talebi, faiz oranı ve yatırım hacmi arasındaki ilişki tayin edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Bu çalışmada, 1998-2013 dönemi için çeyrek dönemli verilerle Türkiye’de para ve fiziki sermaye arasındaki mevcut ilişki, sınır testi ve ARDL yöntemi aracılığıyla araştırılmıştır. Ampirik analiz sonucu elde edilen bulgular, Türkiye ekonomisinde para ve fiziki sermaye arasında sınırlı bir tamamlayıcılık ilişkisi olduğuna işaret etmektedir.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Finansal Liberalizasyon, McKinnon Tamamlayıcılık Hipotezi, Para ve Fiziki Sermaye, Sınır Testi ve ARDL Yöntemi, Türkiye
Suggested citation
(). Para ve Fiziki Sermaye İlişkisi: McKinnon Tamamlayıcılık Hipotezi Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin Ne Kadar Geçerli?. Alphanumeric Journal, 2(2), 1-12. http://dx.doi.org/10.17093/aj.2014.2.2.5000084652
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2014.02.02.ECON.01
alphanumeric journal
Pages 1-12
Received: June 19, 2014
Accepted: Oct. 30, 2014
Published: Dec. 31, 2014
2014 Üçler, G., Özşahin, Ş.
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