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Ulaştırma ve Lojistik Kongreleri

alphanumeric journal

The Journal of Operations Research, Statistics, Econometrics and Management Information Systems

Financial Stability and Creating Financial Stability Index for Turkey


Ahmet Zelka, Ph.D.


Abstract

This study aims to create an index, which will be used for monitoring financial stability for Turkey. For this purpose, firstly the concept of financial stability was defined. As a result of the literature review, the variables considered to give information about financial stability were examined and the variables were grouped by principal component analysis. Finally, generated factors were subjected to logistic regression. The variables which were examined in the study include a total of 57 quarters, which is between the second quarter of 2003 and the second quarter of 2017. Three different dependent variables were used in the logistic regression analysis, each of which was formed by taking into consideration the “break points” in the independent variable series. All variables included in the financial stability index were standardized. The financial stability index was formed with the results obtained by the logistic regression analysis, and then; the contribution of the variables to financial stability was interpreted. It will be possible that the stakeholders in the financial system have information about the expected change in the level of financial stability by monitoring the variables which were examined and used in the analysis.

Keywords: Financial Crisis, Financial Stability, Financial Stability Index, Financial System, Logistic Regression Analysis

Jel Classification: C01


Suggested citation

Zelka, A. (2022). Financial Stability and Creating Financial Stability Index for Turkey. Alphanumeric Journal, 10(1), 51-68. https://doi.org/10.17093/alphanumeric.934795

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Volume 10, Issue 1, 2022

2022.10.01.ECON.01

alphanumeric journal

Volume 10, Issue 1, 2022

Pages 51-68

Received: May 8, 2021

Accepted: June 13, 2022

Published: June 30, 2022

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